The Road To 270: The State Of The Presidential Race On 09/24/2012

Nate Silver/FiveThirtyEight: Silver’s “Now-cast” regression analysis awards Obama 330.4 Electoral Votes and Romney 207.6 EVs, if the election were held today. He gives Obama a 95.6% chance of winning the November election. (Week over week: Obama +12.3 EV)

RealClearPolitics: Obama 247, Romney 191, 126 up for grabs in Colorado, Florida, Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Virginia. (Week over week: Obama +10 EV)

HuffPost Pollster: Obama 323, Romney 191, 16 up for grabs in Colorado and North Carolina. (Week over week: Obama +8 EV)

Electoral-Vote.com: 328 Obama (199 “Strongly Dem,” 61 “Likely Dem,” 68 “Barely Dem”) Romney 206 (136 “Strongly GOP,” 34 “Likely GOP,” 36 “Barely GOP”), New Hampshire (4) is exactly tied. According to the site: “strong means support of 10% or more; weak means 5% to 9%, and barely means less than 5%.” (Week over week: Obama -4 EV)

CNN: Obama 237, Romney 191, 110 up for grabs in Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. (Week over week: No change)

Fox News/Karl Rove: Obama 241, Romney 191, 122 up for grabs in Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. (Week over week: Obama +16 EV)

MSNBC: Obama 237, Romney 191, 110 up for grabs in Nevada, Colorado, Iowa, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Virginia, North Carolina, and Florida. (Week over week: No change)